世界农业

城镇化的进程与农业生产具有密切相关。城镇化通过影响农业劳动力的迁移、耕地资源的整合与科技要素对农业生产的带动,对农业生产产生较为深远的影响。本论文基于相关文献研究成果和理论基础,对中国的城镇化与农业生产发展的关系进行归纳总结,定性分析城镇化可能对农业生产产生的影响。接下来通过DEA—Malmquist指数方法计算2004—2016年中国的农业全要素生产率,分别从时间和空间角度对中国农业全要素生产率的演变和贡献进行分析,可以发现农业全要素生产率增长对中国农业产值增长的贡献达到53.7%,并且发现不同省份的农业全要素生产率与所在省份的城镇化发展水平表现出协调性。基于研究结论,本文从促进新型城镇化道路与农业生产协调发展,增加农业科研与农村人力资本投资,建立耕地动态监管评估机制等方面提出相应的政策建议。

The process of urbanization is closely related to agricultural production in China.Urbanization has a profound impact on Chinese agriculture by affecting the migration of agricultural labor,the integration of cultivated land resources and the diffusion of agricultural science and technology.Based on the research results of relevant literature and theoretical basis,this paper summarizes the development status of urbanization agricultural production in China,and qualitatively analyzes the impact of urbanization on agricultural production.First employ DEA-Malmquist Index to calculate total factor productivity of agriculture in China from 2004 to 2016.From the perspective of time and space,analyze the evolution and contribution of Chinese agricultural total factor productivity.It can be found that agricultural TFP growth contributed 53.7% to China's agricultural output growth and the coordination degree of agricultural total factor productivity and urbanization development level in different provinces reflects various coordination.According to the research results,this paper proposes corresponding policy suggestions from the perspectives of promoting the coordinated development of new urbanization road and agricultural production,increasing the investment in agricultural scientific research and rural human capital,and establishing the dynamic supervision and evaluation mechanism of cultivated land.